Essex County, VT

Home values #

Typical home $245,241 (Aug 2026), +5.7% over one year, +19.1% over five

• 54th pct · 1,409th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
• 0th pct · 14th of 14 Vermont counties · median $374,117

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.

Rents #

Zillow publishes no rent index for this area (ZORI covers about 1,400 counties)

• US counties: not published this period
• Vermont counties: not published this period

Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).

What the typical home costs to carry #

Principal and interest of $1,342 a month on $245,241 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,936 a month: 27.2% of one job’s pay.

• payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $245,241 × 80% = $196,193, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $1,342/mo principal and interest
• wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,139 × 52 / 12 = $4,936) = 27% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
• years of wages = $245,241 / ($1,139 × 52) = 4.1

The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.

Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.

Jobs & wages #

974 jobs at 197 employers (2026 Q1); -5.2% jobs and +13.4% average weekly wage over the year

• 6th pct · 3,014th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
• 0th pct · 14th of 14 Vermont counties · median 15,575

BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.

Drought #

D1 moderate drought

Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.

US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.

Reservoirs #

No reservoir gauges within 150 km (or the camera is above the gauge altitude)

Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.

Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.

Stream gauges #

28 gauges · 0 flooding · 5 with quality panels averaging 100 % · 2 stale

Sites found: 28, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.

Groundwater #

4 wells in 0 named aquifers:

Sites found: 4, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.

Water stress #

low (0.16)

Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.25 + 0.2×0.00 / 0.55

Banks & federal dollars #

$41.3 m in deposits at 2 offices of 2 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 5,359, highly concentrated. $50.9 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $49.6 m, grants $1.0 m), $52,268 per covered job

Deposit concentration is 5,359 across 2 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.

HHI = Σ (share %)² over 2 banks with deposits in the county = 63.4² + 36.6² = 5,359

FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.

Federal obligations #

USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.

That is $52,268 per covered job, against 974 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.

per job = FY2026 obligations $50.9 m / 974 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $52,268

USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.

National context, not this county #

These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.

The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.

What changed #

Essex County, VT: 15 findings, 1 at an alert level, 4 at a watch level and 10 noted

1. alertEssex County, VT's covered employment is -5.2% against a year earlier, an alert level here: covered employment at least 3 percent below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -5.2 <= -3

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

2. watchEssex County, VT's covered employment is -5.2% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -5.2 < 0

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

3. watchEssex County, VT's typical home value of $245,241 scores 54 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 0 across Vermont counties, a gap of 54 points.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 54 = |54 across US counties - 0 across Vermont counties|

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

4. watchEssex County, VT's years of wages of 4.1 scores 47 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 0 across Vermont counties, a gap of 47 points.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 47 = |47 across US counties - 0 across Vermont counties|
   • typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

5. watchEssex County, VT's average weekly wage of $1,139 scores 69 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 38 across Vermont counties, a gap of 30 points.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 30 = |69 across US counties - 38 across Vermont counties|

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

Read all 12 findings in the full brief

Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.