Warren County, MS

Home values #

Typical home $149,496 (Aug 2026), -0.1% over one year, +1.3% over five

• 15th pct · 2,585th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
• 45th pct · 44th of 80 Mississippi counties · median $151,974

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.

Rents #

Typical rent $840/mo (Aug 2026), n/a over one year; price-to-rent 14.8

• 2nd pct · 1,367th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
• 0th pct · 18th of 18 Mississippi counties · median $1,402

Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).

What the typical home costs to carry #

Principal and interest of $818 a month on $149,496 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,923 a month: 16.6% of one job’s pay.

• payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $149,496 × 80% = $119,597, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $818/mo principal and interest
• wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,136 × 52 / 12 = $4,923) = 17% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
• years of wages = $149,496 / ($1,136 × 52) = 2.5
• price-to-rent = $149,496 / ($840 × 12) = 14.8

The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.

Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.

Jobs & wages #

17,877 jobs at 1,088 employers (2026 Q1); -3.6% jobs and +3.6% average weekly wage over the year

• 68th pct · 1,006th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
• 82nd pct · 15th of 82 Mississippi counties · median 6,322

BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.

Drought #

D2 severe drought

Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.

US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.

Reservoirs #

No reservoir gauges within 150 km (or the camera is above the gauge altitude)

Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.

Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.

Stream gauges #

41 gauges · 0 flooding · 2 with quality panels averaging 100 % · 5 stale

Sites found: 41, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.

Groundwater #

14 wells in 0 named aquifers:

Sites found: 14, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.

Water stress #

moderate (0.32)

Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.50 + 0.2×0.00 / 0.55

Banks & federal dollars #

$1.3 bn in deposits at 12 offices of 7 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 2,286, highly concentrated. $605.6 m federal obligations in FY2026 (contracts $311.7 m, direct payments $264.8 m), $33,875 per covered job

Deposit concentration is 2,286 across 7 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.

HHI = Σ (share %)² over 7 banks with deposits in the county = 30.0² + 26.3² + 21.7² + … (4 more) = 2,286

FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.

Federal obligations #

USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.

That is $33,875 per covered job, against 17,877 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.

per job = FY2026 obligations $605.6 m / 17,877 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $33,875

USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.

National context, not this county #

These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.

The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.

What changed #

Warren County, MS: 13 findings, 1 at an alert level, 3 at a watch level and 9 noted

1. alertWarren County, MS' covered employment is -3.6% against a year earlier, an alert level here: covered employment at least 3 percent below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.6 <= -3

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

2. watchWarren County, MS' covered employment is -3.6% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.6 < 0

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

3. watchWarren County, MS' typical home value is -0.1% against a year earlier, a watch level here: typical home value below a year ago (arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: home.yoyPct = -0.1258584285718336 < 0

   arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level

4. watchWarren County, MS' price-to-rent ratio of 14.8 scores 26 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 71 across Mississippi counties, a gap of 45 points.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 45 = |26 across US counties - 71 across Mississippi counties|
   • typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

5. noteWarren County, MS' average weekly wage was 3.6% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • +3.6 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
   • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

Read all 12 findings in the full brief

Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.