Fulton County, NY

Home values #

Typical home $230,015 (Aug 2026), +7.5% over one year, +30.7% over five

• 48th pct · 1,582nd of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
• 32nd pct · 42nd of 62 New York counties · median $256,722

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.

Rents #

Typical rent $1,076/mo (Aug 2026), +6.4% over one year; price-to-rent 17.8

• 13th pct · 1,213th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
• 4th pct · 47th of 49 New York counties · median $1,531

Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).

What the typical home costs to carry #

Principal and interest of $1,259 a month on $230,015 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,654 a month: 27.1% of one job’s pay.

• payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $230,015 × 80% = $184,012, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $1,259/mo principal and interest
• wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,074 × 52 / 12 = $4,654) = 27% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
• years of wages = $230,015 / ($1,074 × 52) = 4.1
• price-to-rent = $230,015 / ($1,076 × 12) = 17.8

The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.

Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.

Jobs & wages #

15,870 jobs at 1,153 employers (2026 Q1); -2.9% jobs and +0.2% average weekly wage over the year

• 66th pct · 1,095th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
• 24th pct · 47th of 62 New York counties · median 32,139

BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.

Drought #

No drought class at this point (USDM covers the United States only)

Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.

US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.

Reservoirs #

No reservoir gauges within 150 km (or the camera is above the gauge altitude)

Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.

Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.

Stream gauges #

63 gauges · 0 flooding · 18 with quality panels averaging 100 % · 10 stale

Sites found: 63, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.

Groundwater #

23 wells in 0 named aquifers:

Sites found: 23, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.

Water stress #

low (0.00)

Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.00 + 0.2×0.00 / 0.55

Banks & federal dollars #

$1.0 bn in deposits at 9 offices of 4 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 4,754, highly concentrated. $9.2 m federal obligations in FY2026 (grants $9.1 m, loans $69,540), $579 per covered job

Deposit concentration is 4,754 across 4 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.

HHI = Σ (share %)² over 4 banks with deposits in the county = 65.5² + 18.0² + 8.6² + … (1 more) = 4,754

FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.

Federal obligations #

USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.

That is $579 per covered job, against 15,870 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.

per job = FY2026 obligations $9.2 m / 15,870 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $579

USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.

National context, not this county #

These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.

The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.

What changed #

Fulton County, NY: 13 findings, 3 at a watch level and 10 noted

1. watchFulton County, NY's covered employment is -2.9% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -2.9 < 0

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

2. watchFulton County, NY's average weekly wage of $1,074 scores 57 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 12 across New York counties, a gap of 45 points.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 45 = |57 across US counties - 12 across New York counties|

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

3. watchFulton County, NY's covered employment of 15,870 scores 66 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 25 across New York counties, a gap of 41 points.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 41 = |66 across US counties - 25 across New York counties|

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

4. noteFulton County, NY's covered employment was 2.9% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • -2.9 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
   • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

5. noteFulton County, NY's typical asking rent fell 0.8% from $1,085 in July 2026 to $1,076 in August 2026, on Zillow ZORI.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • -0.8% = (1076.388888888889 - 1084.530089395613) / 1084.530089395613 × 100
   • 1076.388888888889 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08
   • 1084.530089395613 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-07

Read all 12 findings in the full brief

Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.