Mahoning County, OH
Housing, jobs, water, deposits and federal obligations for this county, each figure with the release it came from. Internal point 41.01, -80.77.
Assembled 2026-10-06. Read the brief.
- 27th pct · 2,219th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 19th pct · 71st of 88 Ohio counties · median $219,740
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
- 81st pct · 580th of 3,063 US counties · median +2.9%
- 79th pct · 19th of 88 Ohio counties · median +4.2%
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
- 17th pct · 1,159th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 32nd pct · 35th of 51 Ohio counties · median $1,327
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
- 89th pct · 327th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 86th pct · 13th of 88 Ohio counties · median 20,657
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
- 55th pct · 1,429th of 3,221 US counties · median $1,039
- 42nd pct · 51st of 88 Ohio counties · median $1,081
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
- 25th pct · 2,278th of 3,063 US counties · median 4.3
- 26th pct · 65th of 88 Ohio counties · median 3.7
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
Typical home value divided by the average annual wage of one covered job.
A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank: the smallest published value in the cohort is 0 and the largest is 100, and tied values share the average of the ranks they span. It is not the share of entities below the value, so 0 means smallest, not none below. Entities that did not publish the metric are outside the cohort entirely and are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
Home values #
Typical home $178,507 (Aug 2026), +6.1% over one year, +44.3% over five
- 27th pct · 2,219th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 19th pct · 71st of 88 Ohio counties · median $219,740
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Mahoning County, OH | $178,507 · +6.1% 1-yr |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.
Rents #
Typical rent $1,133/mo (Aug 2026), +6.2% over one year; price-to-rent 13.1
- 17th pct · 1,159th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 32nd pct · 35th of 51 Ohio counties · median $1,327
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Mahoning County, OH | $1,133/mo · +6.2% 1-yr |
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).
What the typical home costs to carry #
Principal and interest of $977 a month on $178,507 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,611 a month: 21.2% of one job’s pay.
- payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $178,507 × 80% = $142,806, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $977/mo principal and interest
- wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,064 × 52 / 12 = $4,611) = 21% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
- years of wages = $178,507 / ($1,064 × 52) = 3.2
- price-to-rent = $178,507 / ($1,133 × 12) = 13.1
The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.
Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.
Jobs & wages #
91,072 jobs at 6,156 employers (2026 Q1); -1.6% jobs and +2.7% average weekly wage over the year
- 89th pct · 327th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 86th pct · 13th of 88 Ohio counties · median 20,657
- counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro: Rank context is unavailable: the manifest lists 2 counties in the Youngstown-Warren metro; fewer than 5 is too few to rank.
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Mahoning County, OH | 91,072 jobs · $1,064/wk · -1.6% YoY |
| NAICS sector | Jobs | Avg weekly wage | Location quotient | Jobs over the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health care and social assistance | 19,496 | $1,177 | 1.42 | -0.3% |
| Retail trade | 11,064 | $707 | 1.25 | -1.9% |
| Manufacturing | 9,845 | $1,274 | 1.34 | +0.5% |
| Accommodation and food services | 9,267 | $402 | 1.13 | -3.8% |
| Construction | 4,409 | $1,381 | 0.92 | -1.5% |
| Administrative and waste services | 4,267 | $968 | 0.82 | -9.8% |
| Wholesale trade | 3,808 | $1,402 | 1.09 | -1.6% |
| Other services | 3,030 | $724 | 1.11 | -1.8% |
| Professional and technical services | 2,876 | $1,360 | 0.46 | -0.2% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 2,809 | $910 | 0.73 | -1.3% |
| Finance and insurance | 1,673 | $2,298 | 0.45 | +1.6% |
| Arts, entertainment and recreation | 1,552 | $504 | 1.04 | +0.9% |
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.
Drought #
No drought class at this point (USDM covers the United States only)
Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.
US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.
Reservoirs #
3 USGS reservoir gauges, no capacity figures to weight
Sites found: 3, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Lake Arthur at Moraine State Park, PA | 1,190 ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 55 km |
| Pymatuning Reservoir at Pymatuning Dam, PA | 1,008 ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 60 km |
| Loyalhanna Creek Lake, PA | 3,652 Acre-ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 127 km |
Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.
Stream gauges #
105 gauges · 0 flooding · 25 with quality panels averaging 100 % · 29 stale
Sites found: 105, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Mill Creek at Shields Rd. at Boardman OH | flow 11.0 ft³/s · STALE | 8 km |
| Mill Creek at Youngstown OH | flow 8.20 ft³/s · STALE | 10 km |
| Mill Creek at Price Rd. at Youngstown OH | flow 11.0 ft³/s · STALE | 13 km |
| Mahoning River above West Ave at Youngstown OH | flow 635.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (4) · no flooding | 14 km |
| Cherry Valley Run at Leetonia OH | stage 2.44 ft | 15 km |
| Crab Creek at Youngstown OH | flow 1.50 ft³/s · no flooding | 16 km |
| Mahoning River at Ohio Edison P Plt at Niles OH | flow 457.0 ft³/s · STALE | 18 km |
| Mahoning River bl Berlin Dam nr Berlin Center OH | flow 419.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (1) · no flooding | 20 km |
| Mahoning River at Lowellville OH | flow 794.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (3) · no flooding | 20 km |
| Mahoning River at Berlin Dam | no flooding | 20 km |
USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.
Groundwater #
42 wells in 3 named aquifers: Sand and gravel aquifers (glaciated regions), Pennsylvanian aquifers, Mississippian aquifers
Sites found: 42, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvanian aquifers | depth 33.4 ft · 2026-07-12 | 1 km |
| USGS-410538080280801 | depth 17.0 ft · 2026-10-05 | 27 km |
| Sand and gravel aquifers (glaciated regions) | depth 15.4 ft · 2026-07-12 | 27 km |
| USGS-411604080505600 | depth 46.5 ft · 1994-07-03 | 29 km |
| USGS-411101081022000 | depth 26.2 ft · 1982-10-12 | 30 km |
| Mississippian aquifers | depth 10.2 ft · 2026-07-12 | 30 km |
| USGS-411401081025000 | depth 17.1 ft · 2008-09-29 | 34 km |
| Pennsylvanian aquifers | depth 76.6 ft · 2026-10-05 | 41 km |
USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.
Water stress #
low (0.00)
Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.00 + 0.2×0.00 / 0.55
Banks & federal dollars #
$6.7 bn in deposits at 47 offices of 10 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 2,013, highly concentrated. $1.6 bn federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $1.5 bn, grants $70.8 m), $17,254 per covered job
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| The Huntington National Bank | $2.2 bn · 32.3% share · 12 offices | |
| The Farmers National Bank of Canfield | $1.4 bn · 21.1% share · 8 offices | |
| WesBanco Bank, Inc. | $1.1 bn · 15.8% share · 8 offices | |
| Mahoning, OH | $1.6 bn FY2026 · $17,254/job | |
| MULTIPLE RECIPIENTS | $1.4 bn · top recipient FY2026 |
| Institution | Deposits | Share | Offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Huntington National Bank | $2,168,287,000 | 32.3% | 12 |
| The Farmers National Bank of Canfield | $1,417,386,000 | 21.1% | 8 |
| WesBanco Bank, Inc. | $1,058,547,000 | 15.8% | 8 |
| PNC Bank, National Association | $780,741,000 | 11.6% | 5 |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association | $590,317,000 | 8.8% | 5 |
| First National Bank of Pennsylvania | $482,971,000 | 7.2% | 4 |
| KeyBank National Association | $118,726,000 | 1.8% | 2 |
| Citizens Bank, National Association | $77,995,000 | 1.2% | 1 |
| Woodforest National Bank | $6,052,000 | 0.1% | 1 |
| Main Street Bank Corp. | $2,036,000 | 0.0% | 1 |
Deposit concentration is 2,013 across 10 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.
HHI = Σ (share %)² over 10 banks with deposits in the county = 32.3² + 21.1² + 15.8² + … (7 more) = 2,013
FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.
Federal obligations #
USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.
| Awarding agency | Obligations |
|---|---|
| Social Security Administration | $1,301,162,738 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | $126,332,104 |
| Department of Housing and Urban Development | $42,629,092 |
| Department of Transportation | $42,567,338 |
| Department of Education | $21,714,959 |
| Railroad Retirement Board | $13,670,180 |
| Department of Health and Human Services | $8,775,819 |
| Department of Defense | $6,300,217 |
| Department of Justice | $3,199,665 |
| Federal Communications Commission | $2,663,617 |
| Department of Agriculture | $1,203,643 |
| General Services Administration | $1,024,242 |
That is $17,254 per covered job, against 91,072 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.
per job = FY2026 obligations $1.6 bn / 91,072 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $17,254
USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.
National context, not this county #
These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.
| Series | Latest | As of | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi River at Memphis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Mississippi River at St. Louis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Ohio River at Louisville, stage · ft | 12.28 | 2026-10-04 | -0.1% |
| Missouri River at St. Joseph, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Colorado River below Hoover Dam, flow (Hoover releases) · ft³/s | 5,170.00 | 2026-02-05 | -25.3% |
| Texas reservoirs, statewide percent full · % | 72.60 | 2026-10-06 | +0.0% |
| Laredo truck crossings, monthly · trucks | 258,700.00 | 2026-08-01 | -0.4% |
| Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual · TEU | 10,513,167.00 | 2023-01-01 | -13.5% |
| Containerships waiting for a berth, all US ports · ships | 6.00 | 2026-09-22 | -14.3% |
| Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate · $ per 40 ft box | 6,830.00 | 2026-08-01 | +7.4% |
| US diesel retail price · $ per gallon | unavailable | not published | |
| WTI crude oil, spot · $ per barrel | 96.16 | 2026-09-29 | -3.2% |
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate · % | 7.28 | 2026-10-01 | +3.6% |
| Housing starts, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,275.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.6% |
| Building permits, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,403.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.1% |
| Case-Shiller US home price index · index, Jan 2000 = 100 | 337.31 | 2026-07-01 | +0.1% |
| Unemployment rate · % | 4.20 | 2026-09-01 | +2.4% |
| US goods and services trade balance, monthly · $ millions | -88,576.00 | 2026-07-01 | -24.4% |
| Retail sales excluding food services, monthly · $ millions | 646,347.00 | 2026-08-01 | +1.1% |
The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.
What changed #
Mahoning County, OH: 7 findings, 1 at a watch level and 6 noted
watchMahoning County, OH's covered employment is -1.6% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.emp = -1.6 < 0
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level
noteMahoning County, OH's average weekly wage was 2.7% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- +2.7 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteMahoning County, OH's typical asking rent rose 1.7% from $1,115 in July 2026 to $1,133 in August 2026, on Zillow ZORI.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- +1.7% = (1133.3591800356505 - 1114.9159533990003) / 1114.9159533990003 × 100
- 1133.3591800356505 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08
- 1114.9159533990003 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-07
noteMahoning County, OH's covered employment was 1.6% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- -1.6 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteMahoning County, OH's typical home value rose 0.4% from $177,834 in July 2026 to $178,507 in August 2026, on Zillow ZHVI.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- +0.4% = (178507.34940881073 - 177833.70679192213) / 177833.70679192213 × 100
- 178507.34940881073 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-08
- 177833.70679192213 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-07
Read all 7 findings in the full brief
Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.