Bedford County, TN
Housing, jobs, water, deposits and federal obligations for this county, each figure with the release it came from. Internal point 35.51, -86.46.
Assembled 2026-10-07. Read the brief.
- 76th pct · 734th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 80th pct · 19th of 95 Tennessee counties · median $259,021
- 31st pct · 2,100th of 3,063 US counties · median +2.9%
- 20th pct · 76th of 95 Tennessee counties · median +3.2%
- 47th pct · 732nd of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 46th pct · 25th of 46 Tennessee counties · median $1,490
- 67th pct · 1,050th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 70th pct · 29th of 95 Tennessee counties · median 8,576
- 54th pct · 1,474th of 3,221 US counties · median $1,039
- 59th pct · 39th of 95 Tennessee counties · median $1,030
- 78th pct · 646th of 3,063 US counties · median 4.3
- 78th pct · 21st of 95 Tennessee counties · median 5.0
Typical home value divided by the average annual wage of one covered job.
A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank: the smallest published value in the cohort is 0 and the largest is 100, and tied values share the average of the ranks they span. It is not the share of entities below the value, so 0 means smallest, not none below. Entities that did not publish the metric are outside the cohort entirely and are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
Home values #
Typical home $331,053 (Aug 2026), +1.3% over one year, +30.1% over five
- 76th pct · 734th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 80th pct · 19th of 95 Tennessee counties · median $259,021
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Bedford County, TN | $331,053 · +1.3% 1-yr |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.
Rents #
Typical rent $1,476/mo (Aug 2026), n/a over one year; price-to-rent 18.7
- 47th pct · 732nd of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 46th pct · 25th of 46 Tennessee counties · median $1,490
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Bedford County, TN | $1,476/mo · n/a 1-yr |
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).
What the typical home costs to carry #
Principal and interest of $1,812 a month on $331,053 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,585 a month: 39.5% of one job’s pay.
- payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $331,053 × 80% = $264,842, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $1,812/mo principal and interest
- wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,058 × 52 / 12 = $4,585) = 40% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
- years of wages = $331,053 / ($1,058 × 52) = 6.0
- price-to-rent = $331,053 / ($1,476 × 12) = 18.7
The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.
Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.
Jobs & wages #
16,865 jobs at 1,040 employers (2026 Q1); -1.7% jobs and +3.6% average weekly wage over the year
- 67th pct · 1,050th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 70th pct · 29th of 95 Tennessee counties · median 8,576
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Bedford County, TN | 16,865 jobs · $1,058/wk · -1.7% YoY |
| NAICS sector | Jobs | Avg weekly wage | Location quotient | Jobs over the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing | 3,560 | $1,146 | 2.62 | -0.7% |
| Retail trade | 1,982 | $781 | 1.21 | -1.4% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 1,735 | $1,266 | 2.44 | -10.3% |
| Construction | 1,268 | $1,489 | 1.43 | +10.7% |
| Health care and social assistance | 1,204 | $999 | 0.47 | +2.1% |
| Accommodation and food services | 1,150 | $430 | 0.76 | -5.9% |
| Administrative and waste services | 1,103 | $787 | 1.15 | -6.6% |
| Other services | 466 | $865 | 0.92 | -6.4% |
| Finance and insurance | 334 | $1,819 | 0.49 | +5.0% |
| Information | 278 | $1,241 | 0.89 | -4.8% |
| Real estate and rental | 124 | $1,543 | 0.48 | +5.1% |
| Educational services | 108 | $1,221 | 0.30 | +9.1% |
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.
Drought #
D3 extreme drought
Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.
US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.
Reservoirs #
No reservoir gauges within 150 km (or the camera is above the gauge altitude)
Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.
Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.
Stream gauges #
83 gauges · 0 flooding · 27 with quality panels averaging 99 % · 49 stale
Sites found: 83, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| HARPETH RIVER AT MCDANIEL, TN | flow 0.00 ft³/s · quality 80 % (5) | 42 km |
| DUCK RIVER AT SHELBYVILLE, TN | flow 184.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (4) | 3 km |
| DUCK RIVER NEAR SHELBYVILLE, TN | flow 184.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (3) · no flooding | 5 km |
| USGS-0359816545 | stage 1.50 ft · quality 100 % (3) · STALE | 6 km |
| HURRICANE CREEK NEAR ELBETHEL, TN | flow 0.00 ft³/s · quality 100 % (3) · STALE | 6 km |
| FLAT CREEK AT HWY 231 BELOW SHELBYVILLE, TN | flow 74.0 ft³/s · STALE | 6 km |
| USGS-03598169 | flow 0.00 ft³/s · quality 100 % (2) · STALE | 7 km |
| USGS-03598177 | flow 0.02 ft³/s · quality 100 % (3) · STALE | 8 km |
| USGS-03598173 | flow 0.02 ft³/s · quality 100 % (3) · STALE | 8 km |
| WARTRACE CREEK BELOW COUNTY ROAD AT WARTRACE, TN | flow 0.07 ft³/s · no flooding | 11 km |
USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.
Groundwater #
24 wells in 0 named aquifers:
Sites found: 24, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| USGS-352147086094601 | depth 42.4 ft · 2026-02-24 | 32 km |
| USGS-352045086085401 | depth 19.0 ft · 2026-02-24 | 34 km |
| USGS-352509086051103 | depth 21.4 ft · 2025-10-14 | 35 km |
| USGS-352509086051101 | depth 27.2 ft · 2025-10-14 | 35 km |
| USGS-352509086051102 | depth 44.4 ft · 2025-10-14 | 35 km |
| USGS-352441086044501 | depth 28.3 ft · 2025-12-08 | 36 km |
| USGS-352340086043601 | depth 56.6 ft · 2026-02-24 | 37 km |
| USGS-352309086034403 | depth 23.9 ft · 2025-10-20 | 39 km |
USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.
Water stress #
moderate (0.48)
Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.75 + 0.2×0.01 / 0.55
Banks & federal dollars #
$1.3 bn in deposits at 10 offices of 8 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 2,909, highly concentrated. $289.6 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $279.4 m, grants $7.1 m), $17,170 per covered job
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| First Community Bank of Tennessee | $664.6 m · 49.3% share · 3 offices | |
| Pinnacle Bank | $176.7 m · 13.1% share · 1 office | |
| First Commerce Bank | $147.7 m · 11.0% share · 1 office | |
| Bedford, TN | $289.6 m FY2026 · $17,170/job | |
| MULTIPLE RECIPIENTS | $273.0 m · top recipient FY2026 |
| Institution | Deposits | Share | Offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Community Bank of Tennessee | $664,572,000 | 49.3% | 3 |
| Pinnacle Bank | $176,690,000 | 13.1% | 1 |
| First Commerce Bank | $147,737,000 | 11.0% | 1 |
| Regions Bank | $124,939,000 | 9.3% | 1 |
| FirstBank | $102,934,000 | 7.6% | 1 |
| Wellworth Bank | $66,666,000 | 5.0% | 1 |
| U.S. Bank National Association | $43,374,000 | 3.2% | 1 |
| The First National Bank of Middle Tennessee | $19,780,000 | 1.5% | 1 |
Deposit concentration is 2,909 across 8 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.
HHI = Σ (share %)² over 8 banks with deposits in the county = 49.3² + 13.1² + 11.0² + … (5 more) = 2,909
FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.
Federal obligations #
USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.
| Awarding agency | Obligations |
|---|---|
| Social Security Administration | $235,942,909 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | $36,701,529 |
| Department of Transportation | $5,782,559 |
| Department of Housing and Urban Development | $4,075,245 |
| Department of Agriculture | $2,703,325 |
| Department of Defense | $1,907,095 |
| Department of Education | $1,398,181 |
| Railroad Retirement Board | $657,602 |
| Department of the Interior | $412,000 |
| Department of the Treasury | $148,814 |
| Department of Health and Human Services | $52,950 |
| Small Business Administration | $0 |
That is $17,170 per covered job, against 16,865 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.
per job = FY2026 obligations $289.6 m / 16,865 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $17,170
USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.
National context, not this county #
These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.
| Series | Latest | As of | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi River at Memphis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Mississippi River at St. Louis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Ohio River at Louisville, stage · ft | 12.69 | 2026-10-05 | +3.3% |
| Missouri River at St. Joseph, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Colorado River below Hoover Dam, flow (Hoover releases) · ft³/s | 5,170.00 | 2026-02-05 | -25.3% |
| Texas reservoirs, statewide percent full · % | 72.60 | 2026-10-06 | +0.0% |
| Laredo truck crossings, monthly · trucks | 258,700.00 | 2026-08-01 | -0.4% |
| Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual · TEU | 10,513,167.00 | 2023-01-01 | -13.5% |
| Containerships waiting for a berth, all US ports · ships | 3.00 | 2026-10-06 | -50.0% |
| Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate · $ per 40 ft box | 7,848.00 | 2026-09-01 | +14.9% |
| US diesel retail price · $ per gallon | unavailable | not published | |
| WTI crude oil, spot · $ per barrel | 96.16 | 2026-09-29 | -3.2% |
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate · % | 7.28 | 2026-10-01 | +3.6% |
| Housing starts, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,275.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.6% |
| Building permits, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,403.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.1% |
| Case-Shiller US home price index · index, Jan 2000 = 100 | 337.31 | 2026-07-01 | +0.1% |
| Unemployment rate · % | 4.20 | 2026-09-01 | +2.4% |
| US goods and services trade balance, monthly · $ millions | -105,572.00 | 2026-08-01 | -13.7% |
| Retail sales excluding food services, monthly · $ millions | 646,347.00 | 2026-08-01 | +1.1% |
The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.
What changed #
Bedford County, TN: 7 findings, 1 at a watch level and 6 noted
watchBedford County, TN's covered employment is -1.7% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.emp = -1.7 < 0
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level
noteBedford County, TN's average weekly wage was 3.6% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- +3.6 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteBedford County, TN's covered employment was 1.7% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- -1.7 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteBedford County, TN's typical asking rent rose 0.4% from $1,470 in July 2026 to $1,476 in August 2026, on Zillow ZORI.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- +0.4% = (1476.0444444444445 - 1469.502729844191) / 1469.502729844191 × 100
- 1476.0444444444445 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08
- 1469.502729844191 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-07
noteThe next Zillow ZHVI typical home value (monthly) covering Bedford County, TN is due between 2026-10-14 and 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.
Show the arithmetic
- window = 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern
estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date
Read all 7 findings in the full brief
Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.