Atascosa County, TX
Housing, jobs, water, deposits and federal obligations for this county, each figure with the release it came from. Internal point 28.89, -98.54.
Assembled 2026-10-06. Read the brief.
- 54th pct · 1,407th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 64th pct · 87th of 243 Texas counties · median $215,660
- 0th pct · 8th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median $327,528
- 29th pct · 2,154th of 3,063 US counties · median +2.9%
- 61st pct · 95th of 243 Texas counties · median +0.0%
- 100th pct · 1st of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median -1.5%
- 27th pct · 1,020th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 19th pct · 86th of 106 Texas counties · median $1,483
- 14th pct · 7th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median $1,528
- 63rd pct · 1,185th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 70th pct · 76th of 254 Texas counties · median 6,022
- 42nd pct · 5th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median 17,217
- 82nd pct · 570th of 3,221 US counties · median $1,039
- 71st pct · 74th of 254 Texas counties · median $1,115
- 85th pct · 2nd of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median $1,227
- 37th pct · 1,918th of 3,063 US counties · median 4.3
- 52nd pct · 116th of 243 Texas counties · median 3.6
- 14th pct · 7th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median 6.5
Typical home value divided by the average annual wage of one covered job.
A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank: the smallest published value in the cohort is 0 and the largest is 100, and tied values share the average of the ranks they span. It is not the share of entities below the value, so 0 means smallest, not none below. Entities that did not publish the metric are outside the cohort entirely and are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
Home values #
Typical home $245,346 (Aug 2026), +1.1% over one year, +1.2% over five
- 54th pct · 1,407th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 64th pct · 87th of 243 Texas counties · median $215,660
- 0th pct · 8th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median $327,528
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Atascosa County, TX | $245,346 · +1.1% 1-yr |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.
Rents #
Typical rent $1,261/mo (Aug 2026), n/a over one year; price-to-rent 16.2
- 27th pct · 1,020th of 1,399 US counties · median $1,496
- 19th pct · 86th of 106 Texas counties · median $1,483
- 14th pct · 7th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median $1,528
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Atascosa County, TX | $1,261/mo · n/a 1-yr |
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).
What the typical home costs to carry #
Principal and interest of $1,343 a month on $245,346 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $5,495 a month: 24.4% of one job’s pay.
- payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $245,346 × 80% = $196,277, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $1,343/mo principal and interest
- wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,268 × 52 / 12 = $5,495) = 24% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
- years of wages = $245,346 / ($1,268 × 52) = 3.7
- price-to-rent = $245,346 / ($1,261 × 12) = 16.2
The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.
Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.
Jobs & wages #
14,124 jobs at 927 employers (2026 Q1); -3.9% jobs and -1.2% average weekly wage over the year
- 63rd pct · 1,185th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 70th pct · 76th of 254 Texas counties · median 6,022
- 42nd pct · 5th of 8 counties in the San Antonio-New Braunfels metro · median 17,217
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Atascosa County, TX | 14,124 jobs · $1,268/wk · -3.9% YoY |
| NAICS sector | Jobs | Avg weekly wage | Location quotient | Jobs over the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mining, oil and gas | 2,255 | $1,969 | 44.84 | -11.2% |
| Retail trade | 1,964 | $731 | 1.43 | -1.2% |
| Accommodation and food services | 1,337 | $441 | 1.05 | +0.8% |
| Health care and social assistance | 1,234 | $1,304 | 0.58 | -2.1% |
| Wholesale trade | 662 | $2,195 | 1.22 | -10.9% |
| Construction | 643 | $1,274 | 0.87 | -4.7% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 549 | $1,528 | 0.92 | +2.8% |
| Manufacturing | 395 | $1,403 | 0.35 | -21.5% |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing | 387 | $1,016 | 3.79 | -6.5% |
| Administrative and waste services | 355 | $1,356 | 0.44 | -3.3% |
| Real estate and rental | 343 | $1,687 | 1.58 | +20.4% |
| Finance and insurance | 232 | $1,090 | 0.40 | -0.4% |
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.
Drought #
D2 severe drought
Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.
US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.
Reservoirs #
Surface water layer not loaded
Sites found: 5, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Choke Canyon Reservoir | 22 % full · 663k ac-ft | 53 km |
| Medina Lake | 29 % full · 255k ac-ft | 82 km |
| Canyon Lake | 98 % full · 379k ac-ft | 113 km |
| Lake Corpus Christi | 84 % full · 256k ac-ft | 115 km |
| Coleto Creek Reservoir | 75 % full · 31k ac-ft | 135 km |
Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.
Stream gauges #
Surface water layer not loaded
Sites found: 0, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.
Groundwater #
No USGS monitoring wells within 75 km (or above 1,500 km)
Sites found: 0, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.
Water stress #
moderate (0.49)
Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.50 + 0.3×0.48 / 0.65
Banks & federal dollars #
$783.2 m in deposits at 11 offices of 10 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 1,388, moderately concentrated. $279.8 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $276.6 m, grants $2.9 m), $19,809 per covered job
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Security State Bank | $174.3 m · 22.3% share · 1 office | |
| Wells Fargo Bank, National Association | $120.0 m · 15.3% share · 1 office | |
| First Commercial Bank, National Association | $108.5 m · 13.9% share · 1 office | |
| Atascosa, TX | $279.8 m FY2026 · $19,809/job | |
| MULTIPLE RECIPIENTS | $271.1 m · top recipient FY2026 |
| Institution | Deposits | Share | Offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Security State Bank | $174,272,000 | 22.3% | 1 |
| Wells Fargo Bank, National Association | $119,986,000 | 15.3% | 1 |
| First Commercial Bank, National Association | $108,511,000 | 13.9% | 1 |
| The Lytle State Bank of Lytle, Texas | $101,075,000 | 12.9% | 1 |
| Prosperity Bank | $98,016,000 | 12.5% | 1 |
| Atascosa Bank | $71,481,000 | 9.1% | 1 |
| TXN Bank | $40,609,000 | 5.2% | 1 |
| SouthTrust Bank, N.A. | $37,407,000 | 4.8% | 1 |
| Texas Champion Bank | $23,286,000 | 3.0% | 2 |
| First National Bank Texas | $8,550,000 | 1.1% | 1 |
Deposit concentration is 1,388 across 10 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls moderately concentrated.
HHI = Σ (share %)² over 10 banks with deposits in the county = 22.3² + 15.3² + 13.9² + … (7 more) = 1,388
FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.
Federal obligations #
USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.
| Awarding agency | Obligations |
|---|---|
| Social Security Administration | $208,043,630 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | $60,565,798 |
| Department of Health and Human Services | $4,902,042 |
| Department of Agriculture | $3,867,252 |
| Railroad Retirement Board | $2,745,079 |
| Department of Housing and Urban Development | $1,530,077 |
| Federal Communications Commission | $758,393 |
| Small Business Administration | $0 |
| Department of Homeland Security | -$72,391 |
| Department of Transportation | -$2,562,308 |
That is $19,809 per covered job, against 14,124 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.
per job = FY2026 obligations $279.8 m / 14,124 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $19,809
USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.
National context, not this county #
These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.
| Series | Latest | As of | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi River at Memphis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Mississippi River at St. Louis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Ohio River at Louisville, stage · ft | 12.69 | 2026-10-05 | +3.3% |
| Missouri River at St. Joseph, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Colorado River below Hoover Dam, flow (Hoover releases) · ft³/s | 5,170.00 | 2026-02-05 | -25.3% |
| Texas reservoirs, statewide percent full · % | 72.60 | 2026-10-06 | +0.0% |
| Laredo truck crossings, monthly · trucks | 258,700.00 | 2026-08-01 | -0.4% |
| Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual · TEU | 10,513,167.00 | 2023-01-01 | -13.5% |
| Containerships waiting for a berth, all US ports · ships | 6.00 | 2026-09-22 | -14.3% |
| Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate · $ per 40 ft box | 6,830.00 | 2026-08-01 | +7.4% |
| US diesel retail price · $ per gallon | unavailable | not published | |
| WTI crude oil, spot · $ per barrel | 96.16 | 2026-09-29 | -3.2% |
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate · % | 7.28 | 2026-10-01 | +3.6% |
| Housing starts, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,275.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.6% |
| Building permits, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,403.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.1% |
| Case-Shiller US home price index · index, Jan 2000 = 100 | 337.31 | 2026-07-01 | +0.1% |
| Unemployment rate · % | 4.20 | 2026-09-01 | +2.4% |
| US goods and services trade balance, monthly · $ millions | -105,572.00 | 2026-08-01 | -13.7% |
| Retail sales excluding food services, monthly · $ millions | 646,347.00 | 2026-08-01 | +1.1% |
The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.
What changed #
Atascosa County, TX: 18 findings, 1 at an alert level, 5 at a watch level and 12 noted
alertAtascosa County, TX's covered employment is -3.9% against a year earlier, an alert level here: covered employment at least 3 percent below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.9 <= -3
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level
watchAtascosa County, TX's covered employment is -3.9% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.9 < 0
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level
watchAtascosa County, TX's average weekly wage is -1.2% against a year earlier, a watch level here: average weekly wage below the same quarter a year earlier, before inflation (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published, nominal dollars; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.avgWeeklyWage = -1.2 < 0
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published, nominal dollars; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level
watchAtascosa County, TX's momentum index is -0.37, a watch level here: momentum index in the cooling band (the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- test: momentum = -0.37380234409831387 <= -0.25
- momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)
the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level
watchAtascosa County, TX's typical asking rent rose 3.3% from $1,221 in July 2026 to $1,261 in August 2026, on Zillow ZORI.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- +3.3% = (1261.25 - 1220.5738304938136) / 1220.5738304938136 × 100
- 1261.25 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08
- 1220.5738304938136 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-07
Read all 12 findings in the full brief
Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.