Real County, TX
Housing, jobs, water, deposits and federal obligations for this county, each figure with the release it came from. Internal point 29.83, -99.81.
Assembled 2026-10-06. Read the brief.
- 69th pct · 930th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 80th pct · 48th of 243 Texas counties · median $215,660
- 10th pct · 2,741st of 3,063 US counties · median +2.9%
- 29th pct · 172nd of 243 Texas counties · median +0.0%
- US counties: not published this period
- Texas counties: not published this period
- 5th pct · 3,052nd of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 9th pct · 229th of 254 Texas counties · median 6,022
- 5th pct · 3,057th of 3,221 US counties · median $1,039
- 1st pct · 251st of 254 Texas counties · median $1,115
- 90th pct · 289th of 3,063 US counties · median 4.3
- 96th pct · 10th of 243 Texas counties · median 3.6
Typical home value divided by the average annual wage of one covered job.
A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank: the smallest published value in the cohort is 0 and the largest is 100, and tied values share the average of the ranks they span. It is not the share of entities below the value, so 0 means smallest, not none below. Entities that did not publish the metric are outside the cohort entirely and are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
Home values #
Typical home $300,320 (Aug 2026), -1.9% over one year, +0.2% over five
- 69th pct · 930th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
- 80th pct · 48th of 243 Texas counties · median $215,660
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Real County, TX | $300,320 · -1.9% 1-yr |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.
Rents #
Zillow publishes no rent index for this area (ZORI covers about 1,400 counties)
- US counties: not published this period
- Texas counties: not published this period
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).
What the typical home costs to carry #
Principal and interest of $1,644 a month on $300,320 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $3,393 a month: 48.4% of one job’s pay.
- payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $300,320 × 80% = $240,256, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $1,644/mo principal and interest
- wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $783 × 52 / 12 = $3,393) = 48% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
- years of wages = $300,320 / ($783 × 52) = 7.4
The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.
Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.
Jobs & wages #
828 jobs at 100 employers (2026 Q1); +1.3% jobs and +4.0% average weekly wage over the year
- 5th pct · 3,052nd of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 9th pct · 229th of 254 Texas counties · median 6,022
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Real County, TX | 828 jobs · $783/wk · +1.3% YoY |
| NAICS sector | Jobs | Avg weekly wage | Location quotient | Jobs over the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accommodation and food services | 161 | $495 | 2.16 | -5.8% |
| Health care and social assistance | 159 | $930 | 1.28 | +11.2% |
| Retail trade | 116 | $514 | 1.44 | +19.6% |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing | 33 | $817 | 5.52 | -8.3% |
| Manufacturing | 30 | $951 | 0.45 | +0.0% |
| Administrative and waste services | 24 | $827 | 0.51 | +9.1% |
| Construction | 23 | $724 | 0.53 | -14.8% |
| Professional and technical services | 16 | $1,282 | 0.28 | -20.0% |
| Other services | 7 | $1,652 | 0.28 | -12.5% |
| Utilities | withheld | |||
| Wholesale trade | withheld | |||
| Transportation and warehousing | withheld |
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.
Drought #
D1 moderate drought
Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.
US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.
Reservoirs #
42 % of conservation capacity, weighted over 2 TWDB reservoirs
Sites found: 3, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Medina Lk nr San Antonio, TX | 73,420 Acre-ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 91 km |
| Medina Lake | 29 % full · 255k ac-ft | 91 km |
| Amistad Reservoir | 44 % full · 1,813k ac-ft | 127 km |
Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.
Stream gauges #
35 gauges · 0 flooding · 3 with quality panels averaging 75 % · 4 stale
Sites found: 35, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| YP-69-51-606 (E. Uvalde 3) | temp 31.0 °C · quality 25 % (2) · STALE | 73 km |
| Frio Rv at Leakey, TX | stage 4.71 ft | 13 km |
| E Frio Rv nr Leakey, TX | flow 10.2 ft³/s · STALE | 14 km |
| E Prong Nueces Rv abv Camp Eagle nr Rocksprings,TX | stage 3.63 ft · STALE | 22 km |
| Sabinal Rv at FM 187 nr Vanderpool, TX | stage 4.64 ft | 23 km |
| Nueces Rv nr Barksdale, TX | flow 153.0 ft³/s | 25 km |
| Sabinal Rv bl Mill Ck nr Vanderpool, TX | flow 1.98 ft³/s | 28 km |
| Dry Frio Rv nr Reagan Wells, TX | flow 28.9 ft³/s · no flooding | 36 km |
| Sabinal Rv at Utopia, TX | stage 3.17 ft | 37 km |
| Nueces Rv at CR 414 at Montell, TX | flow 315.0 ft³/s | 39 km |
USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.
Groundwater #
10 wells in 2 named aquifers: Edwards-Trinity aquifer system, Alluvial aquifers
Sites found: 10, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Alluvial aquifers | depth 17.1 ft · 2013-12-07 | 12 km |
| WA-69-11-3XX (St. Jude Well) | depth 99.4 ft · 2014-07-21 | 15 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 248.8 ft · 2026-10-05 | 24 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 332.9 ft · 2014-07-29 | 34 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 44.7 ft · 2026-10-05 | 45 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 118.7 ft · 2003-09-29 | 64 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 118.8 ft · 2004-08-04 | 66 km |
| Edwards-Trinity aquifer system | depth 250.4 ft · 2026-10-05 | 67 km |
USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.
Water stress #
moderate (0.37)
Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.25 + 0.3×0.58 + 0.2×0.25 / 0.85
Banks & federal dollars #
$101.8 m in deposits at 3 offices of 2 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 5,811, highly concentrated. $32.4 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $32.3 m, grants $37,790), $39,090 per covered job
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| First State Bank of Uvalde | $71.4 m · 70.1% share · 2 offices | |
| TXN Bank | $30.4 m · 29.9% share · 1 office | |
| Real, TX | $32.4 m FY2026 · $39,090/job | |
| MULTIPLE RECIPIENTS | $32.2 m · top recipient FY2026 |
| Institution | Deposits | Share | Offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| First State Bank of Uvalde | $71,386,000 | 70.1% | 2 |
| TXN Bank | $30,403,000 | 29.9% | 1 |
Deposit concentration is 5,811 across 2 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.
HHI = Σ (share %)² over 2 banks with deposits in the county = 70.1² + 29.9² = 5,811
FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.
Federal obligations #
USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.
| Awarding agency | Obligations |
|---|---|
| Social Security Administration | $28,436,306 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | $3,619,967 |
| Railroad Retirement Board | $144,101 |
| Federal Communications Commission | $73,530 |
| Department of Agriculture | $54,970 |
| Department of Education | $37,790 |
| Small Business Administration | $0 |
That is $39,090 per covered job, against 828 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.
per job = FY2026 obligations $32.4 m / 828 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $39,090
USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.
National context, not this county #
These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.
| Series | Latest | As of | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi River at Memphis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Mississippi River at St. Louis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Ohio River at Louisville, stage · ft | 12.69 | 2026-10-05 | +3.3% |
| Missouri River at St. Joseph, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Colorado River below Hoover Dam, flow (Hoover releases) · ft³/s | 5,170.00 | 2026-02-05 | -25.3% |
| Texas reservoirs, statewide percent full · % | 72.60 | 2026-10-06 | +0.0% |
| Laredo truck crossings, monthly · trucks | 258,700.00 | 2026-08-01 | -0.4% |
| Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual · TEU | 10,513,167.00 | 2023-01-01 | -13.5% |
| Containerships waiting for a berth, all US ports · ships | 6.00 | 2026-09-22 | -14.3% |
| Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate · $ per 40 ft box | 6,830.00 | 2026-08-01 | +7.4% |
| US diesel retail price · $ per gallon | unavailable | not published | |
| WTI crude oil, spot · $ per barrel | 96.16 | 2026-09-29 | -3.2% |
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate · % | 7.28 | 2026-10-01 | +3.6% |
| Housing starts, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,275.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.6% |
| Building permits, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,403.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.1% |
| Case-Shiller US home price index · index, Jan 2000 = 100 | 337.31 | 2026-07-01 | +0.1% |
| Unemployment rate · % | 4.20 | 2026-09-01 | +2.4% |
| US goods and services trade balance, monthly · $ millions | -88,576.00 | 2026-07-01 | -24.4% |
| Retail sales excluding food services, monthly · $ millions | 646,347.00 | 2026-08-01 | +1.1% |
The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.
What changed #
Real County, TX: 10 findings, 2 at a watch level and 8 noted
watchReal County, TX's typical home value is -1.9% against a year earlier, a watch level here: typical home value below a year ago (arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- test: home.yoyPct = -1.9464856181114698 < 0
arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level
watchReal County, TX's years of wages of 7.4 ranks 289th of 3,063 US counties, a watch level here: years of wages in the top tenth of US counties (position among the counties that published both a ZHVI value and a QCEW average weekly wage; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- test: yearsOfWages percentile = 90.59438275636839 >= 90
- typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household
position among the counties that published both a ZHVI value and a QCEW average weekly wage; not an official level
noteReal County, TX's average weekly wage was 4.0% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- +4 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteReal County, TX's covered employment was 1.3% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- +1.3 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
noteReal County, TX's typical home value fell 0.3% from $301,181 in July 2026 to $300,320 in August 2026, on Zillow ZHVI.
Period 2026-08.Show the arithmetic
- -0.3% = (300320.28802424745 - 301180.9829601808) / 301180.9829601808 × 100
- 300320.28802424745 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-08
- 301180.9829601808 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-07
Read all 10 findings in the full brief
Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.