Fluvanna County, VA

Home values #

Typical home $376,775 (Aug 2026), +1.3% over one year, +25.4% over five

• 83rd pct · 516th of 3,063 US counties · median $234,566
• 68th pct · 43rd of 133 Virginia counties · median $307,999
• 25th pct · 4th of 5 counties in the Charlottesville metro · median $382,630

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.

Rents #

Zillow publishes no rent index for this area (ZORI covers about 1,400 counties)

• US counties: not published this period
• Virginia counties: not published this period
• counties in the Charlottesville metro: not published this period

Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).

What the typical home costs to carry #

Principal and interest of $2,062 a month on $376,775 at 7.28%, against an average weekly wage worth $5,048 a month: 40.9% of one job’s pay.

• payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $376,775 × 80% = $301,420, r = 7.28%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-01), n = 360 → $2,062/mo principal and interest
• wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $1,165 × 52 / 12 = $5,048) = 41% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
• years of wages = $376,775 / ($1,165 × 52) = 6.2

The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.

Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.

Jobs & wages #

4,636 jobs at 668 employers (2026 Q1); 0.0% jobs and +4.3% average weekly wage over the year

• 35th pct · 2,086th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
• 32nd pct · 90th of 133 Virginia counties · median 9,944
• 50th pct · 3rd of 5 counties in the Charlottesville metro · median 4,636

BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.

Drought #

No drought class at this point (USDM covers the United States only)

Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.

US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.

Reservoirs #

No reservoir gauges within 150 km (or the camera is above the gauge altitude)

Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.

Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.

Stream gauges #

78 gauges · 0 flooding · 12 with quality panels averaging 98 % · 13 stale

Sites found: 78, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.

Groundwater #

7 wells in 0 named aquifers:

Sites found: 7, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.

Water stress #

low (0.01)

Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.00 + 0.2×0.02 / 0.55

Banks & federal dollars #

$196.6 m in deposits at 2 offices of 2 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 5,023, highly concentrated. $200.1 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $195.3 m, grants $4.6 m), $43,165 per covered job

Deposit concentration is 5,023 across 2 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.

HHI = Σ (share %)² over 2 banks with deposits in the county = 53.4² + 46.6² = 5,023

FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.

Federal obligations #

USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.

That is $43,165 per covered job, against 4,636 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.

per job = FY2026 obligations $200.1 m / 4,636 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $43,165

USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.

National context, not this county #

These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.

The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.

What changed #

Fluvanna County, VA: 4 findings, 4 noted

1. noteFluvanna County, VA's average weekly wage was 4.3% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • +4.3 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
   • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

2. noteFluvanna County, VA's years of wages of 6.2 ranks 5th of 5 counties in the Charlottesville metro, against a median of 7.3.

   Period 2026-08.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 0 on the 0-to-100 scale across 5 counties in the Charlottesville metro that published yearsOfWages
   • typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

3. noteThe next Zillow ZHVI typical home value (monthly) covering Fluvanna County, VA is due between 2026-10-14 and 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

   Show the arithmetic

   • window = 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

   estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

4. noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Fluvanna County, VA is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

   Show the arithmetic

   • window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

   estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

Read the full brief

Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.