Orange County, TX: 9 findings, 2 at a watch level and 7 noted

9 findings fired for Orange County, TX this run, against a typical home value of $192,405 in August 2026 and covered employment of 24,844 in 2026 Q1.

This is the civic & planning lens: Planners, local government, journalists, civic technologists, students It keeps the findings whose subject matches that interest and drops the rest, so it is a subset of the full brief and never a different set of numbers. The full brief is the canonical version of this page.

9 findings #

currentretrieved 2026-10-07

  1. watchOrange County, TX's covered employment is -1.3% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -1.3 < 0

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

  2. watchOrange County, TX's typical asking rent is -2.2% against the previous month, a watch level here: typical asking rent at least 1 percent below the previous month (arithmetic on the Zillow ZORI month columns; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-08.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: rent.momPct = -2.2190351426637847 <= -1
    • month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns

    arithmetic on the Zillow ZORI month columns; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  3. noteOrange County, TX's typical asking rent fell 2.2% from $1,226 in July 2026 to $1,199 in August 2026, on Zillow ZORI.

    Period 2026-08.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -2.2% = (1198.8240740740741 - 1226.0301131443887) / 1226.0301131443887 × 100
    • 1198.8240740740741 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08
    • 1226.0301131443887 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-07

  4. noteOrange County, TX's average weekly wage was 2.1% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • +2.1 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  5. noteOrange County, TX's covered employment was 1.3% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -1.3 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  6. noteOrange County, TX's typical home value rose 0.3% from $191,827 in July 2026 to $192,405 in August 2026, on Zillow ZHVI.

    Period 2026-08.
    Show the arithmetic
    • +0.3% = (192405.36629365772 - 191827.40416921474) / 191827.40416921474 × 100
    • 192405.36629365772 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-08
    • 191827.40416921474 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-07

  7. noteThe next Zillow ZHVI typical home value (monthly) covering Orange County, TX is due between 2026-10-14 and 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

  8. noteThe next Zillow ZORI typical rent (monthly) covering Orange County, TX is due between 2026-10-14 and 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

  9. noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Orange County, TX is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

A lens narrows which numbers are shown, not which holes are admitted to: a withheld figure or a pending release survives every lens, because a gap is a fact about the place rather than about one reader's subject.

Subscribe to this lens #

currentretrieved 2026-10-07

The same narrowed findings as a feed.

Sources #

  • publishedQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    area 48361, all ownerships, all industries · period 2026-Q1 · retrieved 2026-10-07
  • estimateZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-07 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns
  • publishedZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv · period 2026-08 · retrieved 2026-10-07
  • publishedZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · period 2026-08 · retrieved 2026-10-07
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-07 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-07 · momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-07 · typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month
  • estimateQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-07 · typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household

Citations

  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. series area 48361, all ownerships, all industries. period 2026-Q1. https://data.bls.gov/cew/data/api/2026/1/area/48361.csv. accessed 2026-10-07.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-07. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). series County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. period 2026-08. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zori/County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-07.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). series County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. period 2026-08. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-07.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-07. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-07. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%).
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-07. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month.
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. https://www.bls.gov/cew/. accessed 2026-10-07. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household.

What these numbers are not

  • The newest BLS QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, only the over-the-year percent change BLS publishes itself. Every employment and wage comparison here states that published change; none of them is a move from one level to another, because the two levels are not both in the file.
  • The named indicators shown beside this brief are national or basin-level series, not measurements of Orange County, TX; 30-year fixed mortgage rate (watch), Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual (watch), Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate (watch) and WTI crude oil, spot (watch) are at a watch or alert level. They are context.
  • The occupation mix is the 13140 metro area's, from the bundled BLS OEWS release: OEWS does not publish a county table.
  • Water rows are everything within 75 km of this place's internal point (150 km for reservoirs), not everything inside its boundary: lib/water searches discs, and every row prints its own distance.
  • Server report: satellite turbidity is only computed in a browser, so that term is absent here.
  • USGS gauges did not answer.
  • USGS wells did not answer.
  • Stress uses 2 of 4 terms (drought, reservoirs); missing terms are left out, not assumed.
  • Groundwater has no trend term: one latest level cannot say whether an aquifer is being drawn down.
  • Obligations are what agencies committed in FY2026 by place of performance: not outlays, and not the recipient's own location.
  • FY2026 closed 7 days ago; agencies report with up to a 45-day lag, so totals are still filling in.
  • The indicator block is the NATIONAL set, filtered only by lens. None of these series is keyed to this place: they are United States, gauge, single-state or port series and they are shown as context, not as this place's own readings.

Page assembled 2026-10-07T10:17:39.604Z. Place identity tables pulled 2026-10-01.